Rio Branco-VN vs Capixaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
11%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+111%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco-VN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
RIO
0 - 0
RVV
50%
26%
25%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
RVV
1 - 1
VIT
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
REA
1 - 2
RVV
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
RVV
1 - 1
VFC
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 1
RVV
58%
24%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Capixaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
CAP
1 - 0
POR
13%
18%
70%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
DES
1 - 1
CAP
67%
21%
13%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
CAP
2 - 2
NVE
10%
16%
73%
|
23 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
JAG
0 - 2
CAP
77%
15%
8%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
CAP
0 - 0
RIO
8%
19%
73%
|
21 | 57 | 36 | 0 |