Rio Branco-VN vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
19.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco-VN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
UBE
2 - 1
RVV
38%
27%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
RVV
0 - 0
RIO
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
AGU
2 - 2
RVV
20%
24%
56%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
RVV
49%
28%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
RVV
2 - 1
BOA
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
CAL
6 - 2
AGU
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2021 |
PAT
2 - 3
CAL
36%
28%
36%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 1
UBE
24%
26%
50%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
BOA
1 - 1
CAL
60%
24%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
FER
19%
28%
54%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |