Rio Branco-VN vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
40.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco-VN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
RVV
2 - 0
DES
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
VFC
1 - 3
RVV
22%
21%
56%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
RVV
2 - 0
SER
61%
20%
18%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
RVV
1 - 0
RIO
48%
22%
30%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
RIO
0 - 0
RVV
30%
22%
48%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ABC
1 - 1
CON
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 2
ABC
12%
20%
68%
|
55 | 28 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
ABC
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
ABC
1 - 1
FEL
71%
18%
12%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
ABC
1 - 1
CEA
11%
20%
69%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | +1 |