Rio Ave vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
37.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
UDL
1 - 0
RIO
39%
29%
33%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
3 - 0
VST
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
4 - 0
BMA
55%
26%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SCP
1 - 0
RIO
76%
17%
8%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 3
MAR
29%
28%
44%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 2
OLH
57%
25%
19%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SCP
5 - 0
VIT
69%
19%
11%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 0
MAR
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2012 |
SPB
4 - 0
VIT
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 0
SLB
19%
23%
58%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |