Rio Ave vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
35.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
RIO
0 - 2
UDL
44%
28%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 1
NAC
33%
27%
41%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
RIO
0 - 1
SLB
16%
23%
61%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 2
RIO
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 0
RIO
58%
25%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
VIT
2 - 2
VST
63%
23%
14%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 1
SLB
23%
25%
52%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
VIT
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 2
RIO
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 0
RIO
58%
25%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |