Rio Ave vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
29.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1986 |
SLB
3 - 1
RIO
83%
12%
5%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
RIO
1 - 1
OEL
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
FAR
2 - 2
RIO
48%
28%
24%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
RIO
0 - 0
MAR
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
VAR
1 - 0
RIO
49%
29%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1986 |
ATM
1 - 0
VIT
70%
20%
10%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1986 |
VIT
3 - 1
CHA
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
VIT
2 - 0
ATM
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
VIT
2 - 0
BOA
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
SLB
1 - 0
VIT
81%
13%
6%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |