Rio Ave vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
BMA
2 - 0
RIO
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
RIO
1 - 3
FCP
29%
24%
47%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
RIO
4 - 0
MAR
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
VST
2 - 0
RIO
50%
26%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
RIO
0 - 3
SLB
28%
24%
48%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
VIT
1 - 0
VST
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
SLB
4 - 0
VIT
82%
12%
6%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
VIT
2 - 0
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
SPB
2 - 1
VIT
60%
23%
18%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
VIT
1 - 0
ESP
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |