Rio Ave vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
TRO
0 - 0
RIO
39%
30%
32%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
RIO
1 - 0
EST
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
BMA
1 - 1
RIO
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
RIO
1 - 1
OLH
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
PEN
0 - 1
RIO
34%
27%
38%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 0
VAR
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
VAR
0 - 0
TRO
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
EST
1 - 0
VAR
51%
25%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
VAR
2 - 0
BMA
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
OLH
2 - 1
VAR
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |