Rio Ave vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2006 |
UDL
5 - 2
RIO
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
RIO
1 - 3
SCP
21%
24%
56%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
GFC
1 - 0
RIO
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
RIO
1 - 4
ACA
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
RIO
44%
28%
29%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2006 |
FEI
1 - 0
VAR
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
VAR
1 - 0
SAN
47%
27%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
OVA
2 - 4
VAR
27%
26%
48%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
VAR
0 - 2
BMA
40%
29%
31%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
OLH
1 - 1
VAR
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |