Rio Ave vs Tondela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
18.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 1
BEL
67%
20%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 1
RIO
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
FCP
1 - 0
RIO
80%
14%
6%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 2
MAF
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 0
RIO
36%
26%
39%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
BOA
1 - 1
TON
48%
28%
25%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2022 |
TON
2 - 1
MOR
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
TON
0 - 3
GFC
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
TON
3 - 1
EST
32%
25%
43%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
TON
0 - 1
PAÇ
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |