Rio Ave vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
43.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 1
ESM
76%
17%
8%
|
69 | 12 | 57 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
NAV
3 - 2
RIO
41%
29%
30%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
RIO
0 - 0
ACA
44%
28%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
RIO
1 - 0
BEL
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
RIO
57%
25%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
SPC
0 - 1
SPB
30%
28%
42%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
SPB
2 - 0
VST
68%
21%
11%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
OLH
0 - 1
SPB
27%
29%
44%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SPB
1 - 0
FCP
25%
25%
50%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 2
SPB
37%
29%
34%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |