Rio Ave vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
43.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
NAV
0 - 1
RIO
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 1
TRO
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
LEX
1 - 0
RIO
56%
26%
18%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2009 |
RIO
0 - 3
NAC
34%
29%
38%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
SCP
2 - 0
RIO
80%
14%
6%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
SPB
1 - 0
TRO
69%
20%
11%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
SPB
43%
28%
30%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
SPB
1 - 1
MAR
58%
24%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
VST
0 - 3
SPB
34%
30%
36%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
SPB
0 - 1
PSG
38%
29%
33%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |