Rio Ave vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2006 |
RIO
1 - 2
UDL
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2005 |
SCP
3 - 0
RIO
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
RIO
1 - 0
GFC
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
ACA
2 - 2
RIO
45%
28%
28%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
RIO
2 - 2
PAÇ
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
NAV
4 - 1
PEN
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2005 |
PEN
0 - 1
EST
48%
27%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
FCP
3 - 1
PEN
72%
19%
10%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
PEN
0 - 1
VIT
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
BOA
2 - 1
PEN
62%
23%
14%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |