Rio Ave vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1984 |
RIO
3 - 1
EST
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1984 |
FAR
0 - 0
RIO
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1984 |
EST
1 - 1
RIO
41%
29%
30%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1984 |
RIO
2 - 3
SLB
23%
26%
51%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
SPB
2 - 0
RIO
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1984 |
PEN
0 - 0
VST
37%
30%
34%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
POR
3 - 0
PEN
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
PEN
1 - 2
SCP
13%
23%
64%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
PEN
1 - 0
VIT
33%
30%
38%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
ESP
0 - 0
PEN
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |