Rio Ave vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
RIO
25%
27%
48%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 0
SPB
18%
22%
61%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
BOA
3 - 3
RIO
27%
29%
43%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 2
GFC
65%
22%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 0
BEL
66%
22%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
FAR
61%
24%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
BOA
2 - 0
PAÇ
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
PAÇ
0 - 5
SLB
15%
21%
64%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
FAM
2 - 0
PAÇ
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
PAÇ
3 - 0
MOR
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |