Rio Ave vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
37.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
BMA
3 - 1
RIO
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 0
PAÇ
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
VST
3 - 5
RIO
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ARO
2 - 1
RIO
38%
26%
37%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 1
SLB
17%
23%
60%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
VIT
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 0
PAÇ
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
LOU
0 - 6
PAÇ
9%
18%
73%
|
80 | 38 | 42 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
PAÇ
2 - 2
MAR
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
OLH
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |