Rio Ave vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
VST
1 - 0
RIO
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
LEX
1 - 2
RIO
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
RIO
0 - 0
FCP
19%
25%
56%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ACA
1 - 0
RIO
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
RIO
1 - 1
SLB
18%
24%
58%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2008 |
FCP
2 - 0
PAÇ
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2008 |
PAÇ
3 - 4
SLB
19%
24%
57%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
BEL
2 - 2
PAÇ
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
SPB
34%
29%
38%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
EST
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |