Rio Ave vs Ol. Moscavide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
PEN
2 - 0
RIO
31%
28%
42%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
RIO
0 - 0
VAR
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
UDL
5 - 2
RIO
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
RIO
1 - 3
SCP
21%
24%
56%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
GFC
1 - 0
RIO
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ol. Moscavide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
OLM
0 - 2
TRO
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
EST
1 - 1
OLM
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
OLM
2 - 3
ACA
37%
24%
39%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
OLM
1 - 6
SCP
5%
17%
77%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1995 |
OLM
1 - 0
SPB
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |