Rio Ave vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
TRO
2 - 0
RIO
38%
31%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2008 |
RIO
1 - 2
LEX
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
NAC
0 - 0
RIO
57%
25%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
RIO
0 - 1
SCP
21%
26%
53%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
RIO
1 - 0
SPB
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
LEX
1 - 1
NAV
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
NAV
0 - 1
SCP
21%
26%
53%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
NAV
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
NAV
3 - 2
BEL
39%
26%
36%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2008 |
OLH
2 - 0
NAV
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |