Rio Ave vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
EST
2 - 2
RIO
51%
26%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 3
RIO
5%
13%
83%
|
79 | 24 | 55 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
RIO
3 - 2
VIT
37%
28%
35%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 0
BOA
61%
25%
14%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 0
ACA
62%
25%
14%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 0
BOA
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MOS
0 - 6
NAC
4%
10%
86%
|
77 | 20 | 57 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
TON
0 - 0
NAC
27%
25%
49%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
PAÇ
3 - 1
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
VST
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |