Rio Ave vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
37.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
SCP
2 - 0
RIO
80%
14%
6%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
RIO
1 - 1
MAR
36%
29%
36%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
PAÇ
2 - 0
RIO
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
RIO
1 - 0
VST
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
FCP
3 - 1
RIO
71%
19%
9%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
MAR
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2009 |
VST
2 - 0
NAC
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
PAÇ
2 - 2
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 1
ACA
58%
24%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
EST
1 - 0
NAC
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |