Rio Ave vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
47%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
9º
16º
10º
41
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 77 |
1º
|
74% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 71 |
2º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 68 |
3º
|
34% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 65 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 53 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 53 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 48 |
7º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 45 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 45 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 42 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 38 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 34 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 31 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 30 |
16º
|
28% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 27 |
17º
|
19% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 27 |
18º
|
29.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 6.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 30.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 34% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 27.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
FAR
1 - 2
RIO
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
RIO
0 - 3
SCP
24%
23%
53%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
1 - 3
RIO
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
GFC
1 - 1
RIO
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
RIO
2 - 1
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
MTA
0 - 1
FCP
22%
22%
56%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
FCP
1 - 1
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
FCP
0 - 1
OLP
69%
18%
12%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
GFC
3 - 1
FCP
22%
24%
53%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
NAC
2 - 0
FCP
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |