Rio Ave vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
62.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
SCF
2 - 3
RIO
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SPB
4 - 1
RIO
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 0
ACA
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
SCP
0 - 1
RIO
76%
17%
7%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 1
MAR
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
FCP
4 - 0
BMA
78%
16%
7%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
DZG
0 - 2
FCP
36%
25%
39%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
OLH
2 - 3
FCP
16%
22%
62%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
FCP
4 - 0
VIT
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
GFC
0 - 0
FCP
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |