Rio Ave vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2003 |
SAL
0 - 2
RIO
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
RIO
1 - 0
EST
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
UNI
0 - 1
RIO
20%
25%
55%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
RIO
4 - 0
MAI
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2003 |
FEL
2 - 4
RIO
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
FAR
1 - 0
OVA
49%
25%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
SPC
0 - 0
FAR
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
FAR
1 - 1
AVE
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
ALV
2 - 1
FAR
63%
21%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
FAR
0 - 0
NAV
39%
26%
34%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |