Rio Ave vs Famalicão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
9º
16º
10º
11
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 75 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 71 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 69 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 68 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 60 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
|
6º
|
11 | 51 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 50 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 46 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 43 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
|
11º
|
7 | 43 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 40 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 38 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 38 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 37 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 37 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 31 |
16º
|
20.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 26 |
17º
|
30% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 25 |
18º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
RIO
2 - 2
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
AVE
1 - 0
RIO
23%
30%
47%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 0
ARO
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCP
2 - 0
RIO
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 0
FAR
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 0
FAM
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FAM
1 - 1
GFC
55%
25%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 1
FAM
56%
23%
20%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FAM
1 - 0
BOA
53%
24%
24%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
ESA
0 - 3
FAM
26%
26%
49%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |