Rio Ave vs Estrela Vendas Novas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
5.8%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
RIO
0 - 0
MAR
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
UDL
1 - 0
RIO
53%
27%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
RIO
2 - 2
ACA
33%
29%
38%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
POR
3 - 1
RIO
47%
28%
25%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
RIO
0 - 2
FCP
13%
21%
67%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Estrela Vendas Novas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
PAR
3 - 1
EVN
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |