Rio Ave vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
9º
16º
9º
27
8º
17º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 79 |
1º
|
83.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 71 |
2º
|
46% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 67 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 66 |
4º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 53 |
5º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 53 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 48 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 45 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 45 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 43 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 38 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 35 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 33 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 30 |
16º
|
26.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 27 |
17º
|
30% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 25 |
18º
|
47.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
AVE
1 - 0
RIO
23%
30%
47%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 0
ARO
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCP
2 - 0
RIO
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 0
FAR
50%
25%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SCP
3 - 1
RIO
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
EST
1 - 0
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BOA
0 - 0
EST
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
EST
0 - 0
GFC
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 0
EST
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
EST
1 - 4
SAN
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |