Rio Ave vs Esmoriz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
NAV
3 - 2
RIO
41%
29%
30%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
RIO
0 - 0
ACA
44%
28%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
RIO
1 - 0
BEL
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
RIO
57%
25%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 0
NAC
32%
28%
40%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Esmoriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
VIZ
3 - 1
ESM
77%
16%
8%
|
12 | 61 | 49 | 0 |