Rio Ave vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 5
RIO
8%
17%
76%
|
80 | 45 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
AVE
3 - 0
RIO
28%
27%
45%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SPB
1 - 1
RIO
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
RIO
2 - 1
BOA
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 3
RIO
25%
27%
48%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
PED
1 - 4
CHA
4%
12%
85%
|
75 | 30 | 45 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
CHA
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
GFC
0 - 1
CHA
10%
17%
72%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 2
SLB
16%
22%
62%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
BOA
1 - 2
CHA
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |