Rio Ave vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
48.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
RIO
2 - 1
MOR
51%
27%
22%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
TON
1 - 3
RIO
28%
27%
45%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2017 |
RIO
0 - 1
VIT
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 0
SPB
39%
28%
33%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
EST
0 - 2
RIO
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
SLB
3 - 1
EST
80%
13%
6%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2017 |
SLB
0 - 2
BAS
51%
22%
27%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2017 |
FCP
0 - 0
SLB
58%
22%
20%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
SLB
6 - 0
VST
80%
14%
7%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
CSK
2 - 0
SLB
33%
26%
41%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |