Rio Ave vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
60.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 1
RIO
39%
28%
32%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 0
SCF
76%
16%
7%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 1
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 1
POR
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
EST
1 - 3
RIO
43%
28%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
SLB
2 - 0
SPA
63%
20%
17%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SLB
3 - 0
VIT
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
GFC
0 - 3
SLB
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
SPA
2 - 1
SLB
38%
25%
38%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
SCF
0 - 4
SLB
17%
24%
59%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |