Rio Ave vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
51%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
SPB
2 - 0
RIO
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1984 |
VAR
0 - 1
RIO
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1984 |
RIO
2 - 2
VAR
67%
21%
13%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
RDA
1 - 0
RIO
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
RIO
4 - 0
EST
63%
23%
14%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
SLB
1 - 0
VST
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1984 |
SCP
2 - 1
SLB
47%
26%
27%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
SLB
1 - 0
POR
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
SCP
0 - 1
SLB
46%
25%
30%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1984 |
SLB
8 - 0
VIT
80%
14%
7%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |