Rio Ave vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
48.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1979 |
POR
2 - 1
RIO
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
SLB
5 - 1
VST
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
SLB
5 - 0
ACV
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 49 | 39 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
BMA
0 - 0
SLB
21%
26%
53%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
SLB
5 - 3
FAM
91%
7%
3%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
EST
0 - 2
SLB
18%
27%
56%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |