Rio Ave vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2009 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
RIO
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 4
VIT
37%
29%
34%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
SPB
1 - 0
RIO
67%
22%
12%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
RIO
2 - 0
NAV
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
TRO
2 - 0
RIO
38%
31%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2009 |
SPB
2 - 0
BEL
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
BEL
3 - 2
TRO
62%
24%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
OLH
0 - 2
BEL
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
NAC
4 - 2
BEL
46%
27%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
BEL
0 - 2
MAR
44%
28%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |