Rio Ave vs AVS Futebol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
9º
16º
9º
18
9º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 77 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 73 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 67 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 67 |
4º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 54 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 54 |
6º
|
35.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 48 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 45 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 45 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 43 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 43 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 38 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 34 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 33 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 30 |
16º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
18 | 27 |
17º
|
31% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 25 |
18º
|
44.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 15.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 20% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 64.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
RIO
2 - 1
SAO
85%
11%
4%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
RIO
2 - 2
FCP
29%
25%
47%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
FAR
1 - 2
RIO
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
RIO
0 - 3
SCP
24%
23%
53%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
1 - 3
RIO
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
AVS Futebol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
AVE
1 - 2
SAN
23%
26%
51%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
VIT
2 - 0
AVE
83%
11%
6%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
AVE
1 - 0
GFC
23%
25%
52%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
NAC
3 - 1
AVE
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
MOR
1 - 1
AVE
82%
12%
6%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | +1 |