Rio Ave vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
AVE
2 - 1
RIO
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
RIO
0 - 1
CHA
58%
23%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
ESP
0 - 2
RIO
37%
27%
35%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
RIO
0 - 1
UNI
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
EST
1 - 0
RIO
42%
28%
31%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
ACA
3 - 1
LEC
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
MAI
2 - 3
ACA
50%
25%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
ACA
2 - 1
CAM
49%
25%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
POR
2 - 0
ACA
50%
24%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
ACA
2 - 1
OLI
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |