Rio Ave vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
FAR
0 - 0
RIO
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
RIO
1 - 0
ESP
63%
24%
14%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
RIO
3 - 0
SPB
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
PEN
4 - 1
RIO
39%
32%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
RIO
2 - 2
SAL
58%
26%
16%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
ACA
1 - 1
PEN
54%
26%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
SAL
0 - 0
ACA
47%
28%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
ACA
1 - 1
CHA
43%
28%
30%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
OEL
1 - 1
ACA
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
ACA
1 - 1
SCP
15%
26%
59%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | +1 |