Rio Ave U23 vs Farense U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
40.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
6º
8º
6º
32
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
31 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
32 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 1
LEX
35%
24%
41%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MAF
0 - 4
RIO
53%
21%
25%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 1
SPO
38%
24%
38%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
GIL
2 - 1
RIO
80%
14%
6%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
RIO
60%
21%
20%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Farense U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
FAR
1 - 0
MAR
43%
22%
35%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
FAR
0 - 2
MAF
66%
18%
16%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
FAR
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
POR
1 - 2
FAR
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
FAR
0 - 1
LEX
50%
22%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |