Rio Ave U23 vs CD Santa Clara U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
40.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
7º
5º
26
2º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 8 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
FAR
1 - 2
RIO
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 1
POR
39%
24%
37%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
MAF
2 - 0
RIO
33%
23%
44%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
RIO
3 - 2
LEX
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
2 - 1
RIO
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CD Santa Clara U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
ACV
50%
22%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 2
SAN
56%
23%
22%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
FAR
2 - 1
SAN
43%
22%
35%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
POR
42%
22%
36%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
MAF
1 - 3
SAN
27%
22%
52%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |