Rio Ave Sub 17 vs Palmeiras FC Sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.2%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
+5
8.5%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
14%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.7%
3.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
3º
3º
6
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
39 | 42 |
1º
|
18% | |
|
1º
|
40 | 41 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 41 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 27 |
5º
|
85% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
85% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 19 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
|
9º
|
6 | 6 |
9º
|
97% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TON
1 - 2
RIO
17%
19%
65%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
PAD
1 - 1
RIO
41%
22%
37%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
RIO
3 - 0
MER
76%
15%
10%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 3
RIO
15%
18%
68%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 1
ANA
84%
11%
5%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras FC Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PAL
0 - 5
PAD
7%
12%
81%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MER
0 - 1
PAL
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PAL
0 - 3
MAR
19%
19%
62%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ANA
1 - 2
PAL
80%
12%
8%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 6
FAM
7%
14%
79%
|
9 | 33 | 24 | -1 |