Río Aguarico vs Leones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
62.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Río Aguarico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RIA
0 - 1
CDC
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CDC
0 - 0
RIA
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
JUV
4 - 0
RIA
66%
20%
15%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
RIA
1 - 2
JUV
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
LFC
2 - 0
CHA
33%
29%
38%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
ESA
0 - 1
LFC
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
LFC
0 - 1
GUA
28%
28%
44%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 1
LFC
58%
25%
17%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
LFC
0 - 0
RIV
26%
27%
48%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | +1 |