Rincón vs Paso de la Arena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
43.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paso de la Arena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
ROC
2 - 0
CPA
87%
10%
3%
|
9 | 56 | 47 | 0 |