Rimini vs Villabiagio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ACS
0 - 1
RIM
14%
22%
64%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
RIM
4 - 0
ASD
77%
16%
7%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 1
RIM
27%
25%
49%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
RIM
1 - 0
PIA
69%
20%
11%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 1
RIM
15%
21%
64%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Villabiagio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
4 - 2
FIO
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
VIL
33%
23%
44%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 3
COR
55%
20%
25%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SPO
0 - 0
VIL
28%
23%
50%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 0
MON
41%
23%
37%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |