Rimini vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
71.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
RIM
1 - 0
SPA
14%
25%
61%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
RIM
2 - 0
ASL
32%
28%
40%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
RIM
1 - 1
ANC
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
PON
4 - 0
RIM
64%
22%
14%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
RIM
2 - 3
REC
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ANC
2 - 1
PRG
25%
27%
48%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
PRG
2 - 1
ACD
66%
22%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
REC
0 - 0
PRG
14%
23%
63%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
JS2
0 - 2
PRG
14%
24%
62%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
PRG
1 - 1
SAS
74%
18%
8%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |