Rimini vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
20.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1977 |
RIM
1 - 2
FIO
14%
21%
65%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1977 |
ATL
2 - 0
RIM
62%
24%
14%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 1977 |
RIM
3 - 1
COM
39%
30%
32%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
SSS
1 - 1
RIM
46%
30%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
RIM
1 - 0
SPA
44%
29%
27%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1977 |
MOD
1 - 2
SAM
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1977 |
MOD
2 - 1
ASS
43%
30%
26%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 1977 |
AVE
1 - 1
MOD
55%
28%
18%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
MOD
4 - 2
CAT
53%
29%
18%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
ASC
1 - 0
MOD
59%
26%
15%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |