Rimini vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
VER
0 - 1
RIM
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
RIM
0 - 0
VIR
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
POT
2 - 1
RIM
20%
26%
54%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
RIM
2 - 0
COS
74%
18%
8%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
PER
0 - 2
RIM
24%
26%
51%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
VAR
1 - 0
LEC
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ASS
3 - 1
VAR
49%
27%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
VAR
2 - 2
PER
48%
25%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
VAR
2 - 0
FOL
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
FCV
0 - 1
VAR
30%
28%
42%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |