Rimini vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
SSS
2 - 1
RIM
47%
28%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
RIM
1 - 2
COM
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
RIM
1 - 4
TOR
27%
29%
45%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
TRI
2 - 2
RIM
62%
20%
18%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
PAD
1 - 3
RIM
66%
18%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
TOR
2 - 2
VAR
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
VAR
1 - 0
SSS
57%
25%
18%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
VAR
0 - 1
TRI
47%
23%
30%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
COM
1 - 1
VAR
57%
26%
17%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1985 |
PRG
1 - 0
VAR
50%
30%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |