Rimini vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
13.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
SAS
1 - 0
RIM
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
RIM
0 - 2
PIA
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
EMP
2 - 1
RIM
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
MOD
1 - 1
RIM
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
RIM
2 - 2
TRE
65%
22%
13%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2009 |
ANC
1 - 4
FRO
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
BRE
3 - 0
ANC
61%
24%
15%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
PIA
2 - 0
ANC
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
ANC
2 - 0
PAR
28%
28%
45%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
ASC
2 - 0
ANC
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |