Rilindja vs Bærum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
72.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
STR
3 - 1
BAR
52%
22%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
FOL
46%
23%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
SOG
3 - 1
BAR
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
S08
3 - 0
BAR
71%
17%
12%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
MJO
4 - 1
BAR
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -2 |