Rijnsburgse Boys vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
72.5%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rijnsburgse Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
LIE
2 - 1
RIJ
24%
23%
53%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
GVV
2 - 1
RIJ
15%
20%
66%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
RIJ
3 - 2
BAR
76%
14%
9%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
TIE
1 - 3
RIJ
24%
23%
54%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 3
RIJ
30%
23%
48%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
ZWO
2 - 1
HER
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
HER
2 - 4
FEY
21%
23%
57%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
QUI
0 - 6
HER
7%
13%
80%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
HER
2 - 2
EXC
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SCH
1 - 1
HER
46%
25%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |